It’s time for our third main of the PGA Tour season, the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. This would be the 121st U.S. Open and the second time that it has been performed at Torrey Pines. The final time was in 2008 in what could be Tiger Woods’ final main championship victory earlier than his wonderful run on the 2019 Masters. Whereas Tiger will not be within the subject this yr, that is nonetheless a fully stacked group of golfers, which makes it more difficult to fill out a PGA DFS lineup.
The 7,652-yard, par-71 course has modified barely through the years however nonetheless options slender fairways and thick tough along with poa annua greens. The second gap is the one par 4 underneath 400 yards on the course. The signature par-3 third gap is measured at 195 yards, however with a number of tee packing containers and wind instructions, gamers might be utilizing any variety of golf equipment to assault this gap all through the week. The simplest gap ought to as soon as once more be the 568-yard par-5 finisher, which can make for top ranges of drama down the stretch.
U.S. OPEN BETTING: Finest bets, sleepers
The most important change over the 13 years would be the subject. These gamers are extra analytical, stronger, leaner and general higher. The South course at Torrey sometimes ranks contained in the top-15 hardest in Fairways Hit, Greens in Regulation, Proximity, and Scrambling. Driving, strategy and scrambling might be keys to success.
We must always see excellent circumstances this weekend. The climate seems to be to be typical of San Diego in the summertime, with temperatures within the mid-to-high 70s. As of proper now, the forecast has the winds being comparatively calm sitting between eight-to-12 MPH all through the weekend.
PGA DFS technique for U.S. Open 2021
The U.S. Open has all the time been recognized for attempting to problem all elements of the participant’s sport, from the psychological to the bodily. You’ll have all the standard traits of the U.S. Open with slender fairways, thick tough, and greens like hardwood flooring. A participant like Bryson DeChambeau received’t be capable to overpower this course the best way he did at Winged Foot in 2020. The tough will take its toll of those gamers if they will’t maintain it within the brief grass. I’m going to be concentrating on gamers who’ve expertise enjoying in U.S. Open and know what it takes to win. I’m not taking away something from what DeChambeau did in 2020 — it was phenomenal — however I’m simply saying this week might be a unique story.
When Tiger Woods received the U.S. Open on Torrey in 2008, he completed with a rating of one-under par. While you have a look at the typical successful rating of the Farmers Insurance coverage Open over the previous 5 years, it’s practically 15-under par. That’s why I’ll have a look at the latest outcomes on the Farmers, however it received’t be closely weighted, this week will play tougher than it did again in January. I count on the winner to come back in round four- to six-under par.
U.S. Open DFS picks
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Brooks Koepka: Koepka freely admits that he doesn’t stand up mentally for a daily tour occasion like he does for a significant championship. He is aware of that his profession might be outlined by what number of main titles he wins. He missed the lower on the Masters, however I’m writing that off due to the knee surgical procedure. When you take that out, he completed runner-up eventually month’s PGA Championship, seventh on the 2020 Masters, received the ’19 PGA Championship, runner-up on the ’19 Masters, received the PGA & U.S. Open in ’18, and received the ’17 U.S. Open. I belief Koepka’s psychological sport being stronger than most anybody else within the subject this weekend.
Jon Rahm: When you don’t assume Rahm doesn’t have an enormous chip on his shoulder heading into this weekend, I’ve some ocean entrance property to promote you in Omaha. A six-stroke lead heading into Sunday on the Memorial simply bought wiped away, and you do not assume he is going to come back out weapons blazing on the U.S. Open? He additionally has an important observe report at Torrey Pines with a win and runner-up end on the Farmers Insurance coverage. He’s second on tour in “Strokes Gained: Tee to Inexperienced,” third in “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee,” fifth in “Greens in Regulation,” and twelfth in “Strokes Gained: Method.” The one purpose to not like him is his worth, however I’m going to pay up.
Will Zalatoris: What extra can I say about this child that hasn’t been mentioned 100 occasions over? The one factor he hasn’t accomplished but in his younger profession is win, however he got here darn shut with a runner-up end on the Masters. He additionally completed eighth on the PGA Championship. That is only one of his seven top-10 finishes in 2021. This child can crush the ball off the tee (twenty fifth in “Driving Distance”), ball strike with one of the best of them on tour (third in “Strokes Gained: Method” and seventh in “Strokes Gained: Tee to Inexperienced”) and put himself into place to make birdies typically (14th in “Greens in Regulation”). Whereas his final outing on the Charles Schwab was his worst end in his younger profession (59th place), I’m really hoping that may kill a few of his possession this weekend.
Gary Woodland: Woodland has been an afterthought on the PGA Tour since his U.S. Open victory at Pebble Seashore in 2019. He struggled after the massive win after which handled a hip damage on the finish of ’20. We’ve seen indicators of life in his sport over the previous two months beginning with a top-10 end on the Valero and adopted that up with a top-five end just a few weeks later on the Wells Fargo. He nonetheless ranks tenth in “Driving Distance” and prime 50 in “Strokes Gained: Method” regardless of his struggles within the early a part of the season. I believe he’ll be decrease owned than gamers like Jason Kokrak, Joaquin Niemann, Sungjae Im and Shane Lowry in the same worth vary.
Shane Lowry: The reigning Open Champion is rounding into prime kind as we get nearer to his title protection. I really feel Shane Lowry is flying underneath the radar regardless of three top-10 finishes in his previous 4 begins; ninth on the RBC Heritage, fourth on the PGA Championship, and sixth in Memorial Event. He additionally completed twenty first on the Masters. He does have two top-10 finishes in his U.S. Open historical past. Whereas he hasn’t received this championship, he does nonetheless have the Claret Jug at dwelling, in order that scores further factors with me. Top-of-the-line gamers all through his bag rating inside the highest 45 in all Strokes Gained classes besides placing. That’s about as constant as you will get in relation to a PGA Tour skilled.
Jhonattan Vegas: One thing has awoken in Vegas over the previous few weeks, and I personally like to see it. He simply completed runner-up on the Palmetto and ninth on the Byron Nelson in his earlier begin. Why not experience the new hand? Top-of-the-line drivers on the PGA Tour, Vegas is usually a birdie machine if he will get issues rolling. Torrey Pines calls for a very good driver, and that’s his greatest ability on the golf course. He at the moment ranks fourth in “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee” and 14th in “Driving Distance.”
Jason Kokrak: Jason received his first PGA Tour occasion earlier this yr on the CJ Cup and used that momentum to attain his second win on the Charles Schwab only a couple weeks in the past. Apart from these victories, he has top-10 finishes at WGC-Workday, Arnold Palmer, and The Gamers. At 36, he has all of the size wanted to tame Torrey Pines, rating twenty second in each “Driving Distance” and “Strokes Gained: Off the Tee.” He’s additionally fifth on Tour in “Strokes Gained: Placing,” 14th in “Par 5 Scoring,” and twenty fifth in “Greens in Regulation.” Kokrak has back-to-back top-30 finishes on the Farmers Insurance coverage Open.