2021 NFL Week 1 Picks, Odds: Raiders stun Ravens, Cardinals upset Titans, Payments crush Steelers

29 mins read

Soccer! It is again, it is actual and it is spectacular. Whereas there’s nonetheless a pandemic within the background, it feels vastly completely different from a yr in the past, when soccer legitimately might have simply disappeared. Now we have now followers within the stands and it might current some fascinating betting alternatives — on the very least it is going to create wildly completely different sport conditions for these gamers.

After a yr of with the ability to simply talk in empty stadiums, quarterbacks now must alter to mildly completely different environments. If you happen to do not consider me, watch this goosebumps-inducing video of Virginia Tech blasting “Enter Sandman” forward of its enormous upset of North Carolina final Friday night time. 

There are at the least three beginning quarterbacks — Justin Herbert, Tua Tagovailoa and Joe Burrow — who haven’t performed in opposition to NFL defenses on the street with full stadiums of followers dropping their minds. I am not suggesting they’re going to crumble or something this season, however street video games are going to be tougher (and possibly some residence video games for Herbert). It felt like faculty soccer delivered a fairly large home-field benefit in some conditions. So the development warrants monitoring this week within the NFL as properly. 

Earlier than we get to the picks, huge shoutout to Ryan Satsky, Justin Web page and the whole CBS Sports activities analysis crew. That crew places an insane quantity of labor into creating these huge packets of information for us and do not get almost sufficient credit score for the way arduous they grind behind the scenes. 

To the picks!

All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook

NFL Week 1 Picks

Cowboys at Buccaneers

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)
Comply with: CBS Sports activities App

Newest Odds:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-9

Let’s not sugar coat this. If you wish to again the man who introduced out an “Austin Powers” meme in entrance of a bunch of 25-year-old youngsters as an alternative of backing the only biggest participant in NFL historical past, who not too long ago declared that his favourite ring was his subsequent whereas getting ready to look because the oldest defending Tremendous Bowl champion quarterback in NFL historical past, backed by 22 returning starters and an elite protection captained by Todd Bowles, who obtained shafted by the Jets and Devin White, who it is best to wager for DPOY and Lavonte David, essentially the most criminally underrated linebacker within the NFL over the past 5 years, plus Vita Vea/Ndamukong Suh going up in opposition to an offensive line with out Zack Martin, by all means go forward. 

The choose: Buccaneers 35, Cowboys 24

Props, Finest Bets: Over 51.5, Tom Brady 1st TD (40-1), Antonio Brown over 4.5 receptions, O.J. Howard anytime TD +490

Cardinals at Titans

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)

Newest Odds:

Tennessee Titans
-3

This feels just like the “let’s not overreact to Week 1” Recreation of the Yr. Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury have to take the proverbial leap this yr however I do not know if we will say it occurred as a result of they beat the Titans. Tennessee’s protection must be higher, however I am unsure we will say it’s in opposition to an offense that’s solely typically explosive. Watch Derrick Henry’s carries right here — if the Titans are going to maintain him within the storage early within the season it’ll change how their offense operates. This sport will probably be shut with a ton of factors. 

The choose: Cardinals 35, Titans 31

Props, Finest Bets: Over no matter, Below Derrick Henry rush yards

Excited for the largest NFL schedule in historical past? Comply with alongside on the CBS Sports activities app and get the newest insights from our crew of NFL insiders, plus information from our crew of consultants, in addition to information insights on each participant. If you have already got the CBS Sports activities app, be sure to favourite the your favourite crew so you do not miss a factor!

Jaguars at Texans

Sunday,1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Houston Texans
+3

No matter you do, do not take the Jaguars in your Survivor Pool. Do not do it! The Texans may be the worst crew in soccer, however the Jaguars aren’t that significantly better, it is a division sport, it is Week 1, it is on the street and that is mainly David Culley’s Tremendous Bowl. He wants this win a LOT greater than City Meyer does. Trevor Lawrence is gonna be arduous to screw up and City has achieved this lengthy sufficient the place he in all probability is aware of what he is doing. However in case you count on Jacksonville to roll right here simply because Houston is terrible, you have not watched sufficient NFL soccer.

The Choose: Texans 21, Jaguars 17

Bets: Nope

Chargers at Soccer Crew

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Washington Soccer Crew
-1

See what I discussed above about crowds? My boys The Junkies on 106.7 the Fan do not suppose that is going to be an insane crowd in Washington (cannot blame them, FedEx Discipline is a dump and actually far-off and this crew has been MEEEEEH for 10 years operating) however there’s going to be individuals there and Ron Rivera’s protection will present up and trigger issues for a younger quarterback with a brand new coach, a brand new offensive system and a number of new offensive linemen. In the end I believe the Chargers did Justin Herbert a favor by including Corey Linsley, et al, this offseason. However we should not count on this crew — with a brand new coach in Brandon Staley — to simply magically be superior out of the gate. Shut sport however the residence crew ought to sneak it out.

The Choose: WFT 24, Chargers 21

Bets: Cross

Vikings at Bengals

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Cincinnati Bengals
+3

Kirk Cousins has achieved an excellent job this offseason making the Minnesota Vikings unattractive from a season-long betting perspective, however that will not matter on this sport. Joe Burrow is again however is he BACK? We’ve not seen him confidently working the pocket the way in which we count on. Ja’Marr Chase’s drops are a priority however I believe he’ll find yourself being high-quality. The larger drawback right here is Cincy in all probability cannot decelerate the Vikings speeding assault. This can be a Dalvin Cook dinner smash spot out of the gate in opposition to a foul protection with an improved offensive line. I believe Minnesota will get the lead and leans into it aggressively. If you happen to disagree, take it up with Vegas: Dalvin’s rush prop at Caesar’s is 95.5! That is a bit too wealthy for Week 1 however I’d nonetheless lean over on it. 

The Choose: Vikings 28, Bengals 17

Bets: Vikings -3

Jets at Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Carolina Panthers
-4

LADIES AND GENTLEMEN … THE SAM DARNOLD REVENGE GAME!!!! Proper out of the gate, you like to see it. Good work, NFL schedule makers. You need to speak about a referendum sport — if Darnold stinks in opposition to his previous crew, Panthers followers are going to freak out. Conversely, if Darnold is superior and Zach Wilson struggles, the NY Put up again web page goes to be unbelievable on Monday morning. A lot at stake for such a meaningless sport. I nonetheless consider in Darnold and whereas I am petrified to take action, the common idea that something Adam Gase stops touching turns to gold is in play right here huge time. Matt Rhule and David Tepper will need to showcase their QB right here, so I count on loads of pictures down the sector in opposition to a horrendous Jets secondary. P.S. Sneaky revenge sport for Rhule, too, who wished the Jets job till they demanded to manage what coaches he employed! 

The Choose: Panthers 31, Jets 24

Bets: Darnold over passing yards

Eagles at Falcons

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Atlanta Falcons
-3.5

Not essentially the most enticing Week 1 Chicken Bowl right here, though there are a ton of fantasy-related questions that would/will probably be answered right here. How does Jalen Hurts look in Nick Sirianni’s offense? How does Matt Ryan look (or extra importantly how does the OL look) in Arthur Smith’s offense? Will Dean Pees create strain with out an abundance of expertise for the Falcons protection? Are DeVonta Smith and Jalen Reagor going to reply the draft hype? Nobody is searching for these two groups to make the playoffs however it is a sneaky enjoyable sport. I’d lean over right here and suppose most individuals consider that however I might prefer to see the tempo from these groups first earlier than betting it.

The Choose: Falcons 28, Eagles 21

Bets: Cross

Steelers at Payments

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Buffalo Payments
-6.5

A really fast warmth verify for the “Massive Ben is okay” crowd with a visit to Buffalo that ought to function QUITE the rowdy crowd in addition to a Sean McDermott protection anticipated to bounce again for the Payments. I’m tremendous excessive on Buffalo this yr — not fairly as excessive as Pete Prisco and 4 or 5 different NFL writers right here at CBS however fairly excessive — for apparent causes. If Josh Allen one way or the other will get BETTER look out. If he simply maintains final yr’s stage it is a 11-13-win crew. Pittsburgh will get to search out out rapidly how the revamped offensive line seems to be and I’d count on Allen to check that secondary deep early and sometimes.

The Choose: Payments 38, Steelers 24

Bets: Payments -6.5

Seahawks at Colts 

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Indianapolis Colts
+3

OK perhaps that is the “let’s freak out about Week 1” sport of the yr of the century. Russell Wilson spent all offseason complaining — in a really passive-aggressive vogue — about not being the Seahawks GM, solely to return again and apologize to Pete Carroll and embrace no matter Shane Waldron goes to do on offense. We’re led to consider it is going to be up-tempo and that it’s going to function extra brief passing and that it’s going to #LetRussCook. We’ll see! Carson Wentz is forcing his means again regardless of a fairly large foot harm within the preseason. Is he going to be cellular nonetheless? Or will he be a handoff machine on this sport? I’d wager the Colts need to gradual this factor all the way down to a crawl. How the Seahawks reply is actually fascinating as a result of you’ll be able to lure Carroll into an pointless slugfest fairly simply.

The Choose: Seahawks 24, Colts 17

Bets: Cross

49ers at Lions

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Detroit Lions
+8.5

Ever have a sport you instantly have a look at midweek and get terrified of how apparent it’s? As a result of Kyle Shanahan vs. Dan Campbell, with all of my Trey Sermon shares, and as dangerous as Detroit must be and nearly as good as I count on the 49ers to be … properly, that is that sport for me. How are the Niners not going to blast the Lions into oblivion? Everybody and their brother will probably be on San Francisco in survivor swimming pools. Jamey Eisenberg named Raheem Mostert his Begin of the Week out of the gate. Is the world going to mush the 49ers? Or are the Lions simply horrendous? I lean towards the latter as a result of it seems actually apparent and we have now a long time of historical past to level to. 

The Choose: 49ers 35, Lions 10

Bets: 49ers -7.5 — higher to tease them actually, blind over Trey Sermon rush yards

Browns at Chiefs

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
-5.5

What a David and Goliath second right here for Cleveland and Baker Mayfield. They’d the Chiefs down on the mat within the playoffs final yr, dangerously near taking out the brand new AFC dynasty earlier than Andy Reid and *checks notes* CHAD HENNE popped again up and received. The Browns are bizarre as a result of they’re tremendous into analytics and but most analytical soccer websites are down on them as a result of they overachieved final yr. On the identical time, their roster is superior! Put them in a special uniform and I am far more bullish on them most certainly. Their protection is not slowing down Patrick Mahomes, however I do not suppose the Chiefs will cease Baker and Nick Chubb both. Scoring fest right here with the Browns sneaking in a last-minute cowl.

The Choose: Chiefs 31, Browns 28

Bets: Over

Packers at Saints (in Jacksonville)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

New Orleans Saints
+3.5

This sport is now being performed in Jacksonville, which is fairly huge from a home-field perspective — the Saints have been going to have a WILD scene within the Superdome for this sport. I am very bullish on Jameis Winston this season and suppose he might find yourself having a pleasant yr. However the Packers ought to have the ability to get the offense cooking early and I count on Aaron Rodgers to return out weapons blazing after this offseason and no motion within the preseason. The Final Dance kicks off on the Touchdown and the Packers roll. 

The Choose: Packers 31, Saints 24

Bets: Packers -4, Davante Adams first TD any quantity

Broncos at Giants

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
FOX | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

New York Giants
+3

Vic Fangio and Jason Garrett in the identical stadium? My, my, my. We must always actually be in retailer for a bunch of factors on this one. I like Denver right here however suppose it is in all probability going to be a low-scoring affair. Each of those defenses are stout and each offenses are extraordinarily conservative. Teddy Bridgewater is beginning for a motive — he does not flip the ball over and is a superb sport supervisor. who DOES flip the ball over? Daniel Jones aka Danny Dimes. Give me the Broncos in a sludgefest.

The Choose: Broncos 17, Giants 10

Bets: Broncos -3 and underneath

Dolphins at Patriots

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

New England Patriots
-3

I am tremendous bullish on the Patriots — you would make the case that since they’re rolling with a rookie QB in Mac Jones their offense may be restricted, however I believe Invoice Belichick going with Mac ought to make us all that rather more assured in his capacity to play at a excessive stage. That is going to be a run-first/defense-based crew and I count on them to make life very, very troublesome for Tua Tagovailoa who has by no means truly performed in opposition to an NFL protection in a completely packed away sport. Welcome to New England in opposition to Invoice Belichick’s revamped protection, younger man! 

The Choose: Patriots 24, Dolphins 13

Bets: Pats -3, underneath

Bears at Rams

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Los Angeles Rams
-7.5

Fairly easy handicap right here: the Bears offensive line is horrible, Andy Dalton struggles badly when he is pressured, the Rams have Aaron Donald and Sean McVay does not lose Week 1 video games as a head coach within the NFL. The Rams ought to hammer the Bears and this sport ought to fly underneath the full, similar to each single one of many McVay/Matt Nagy matchups has.

The Choose: Rams 21, Bears 10

Bets: Below

Ravens at Raiders

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: 
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Newest Odds:

Las Vegas Raiders
+4

I’m not significantly excessive on the Raiders this yr, however this Week 1 matchup must be a great place for them, particularly since Baltimore’s capacity to pound the ball took one other huge hit with Gus Edwards happening, becoming a member of J.Ok. Dobbins and Justice Hill. The followers will probably be rowdy and Lamar Jackson simply does not have sufficient assist round him to pile up the factors. Baltimore’s report in Week 1 video games with Lamar is terrifying for certain, however I believe Jon Gruden will cook dinner up rather a lot right here on offense, Derek Carr will play surprisingly properly and Las Vegas pulls of a stunner on MNF.

The Choose: Raiders 24, Ravens 21

Bets: Cross

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