DraftKings preview: U.S. Open

11 mins read

The 121st U.S. Open is on deck this week at Torrey Pines, South Course, in San Diego, California. The course will play as a par 71, measuring 7,643 yards and the greens can be poa annua this week. There are 156 golfers and the highest 65 and ties will make the weekend for the season’s third main. The final and solely time Torrey Pines hosted the U.S. Open was in 2008, the place Tiger Woods beat Rocco Mediate in a playoff.


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STRATEGY

Torrey Pines is a daily cease on the PGA TOUR for the Farmers Insurance coverage Open, the place Patrick Reed (+2500, $9,000) gained by 5 strokes. Bryson DeChambeau (+1900, $10,400) is the defending U.S. Open champion, successful at Winged Foot final season. Just like final week, Torrey Pines (South) can be one other lengthy, par 71 and that’s the place the similarities cease. The course hugs the San Diego shoreline, that includes undulating fairways, thick tough and small greens. Torrey Pines additionally has deep bunkering guarding the greens — 14 of 18 holes have bunkers that sit on the left and proper aspect of the placing floor, ensuring the golfers don’t have a straightforward bailout away from hazard.

There’s no secret what it’s worthwhile to do nicely at a U.S. Open and right here at Torrey Pines. In fact, ball-striking is king, however golfers who’re environment friendly in distance and accuracy Off-the-Tee can have a neater path to success. The final 4 winners of the U.S. Open are all elite drivers. Bryson completed first in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee on the finish of the season final 12 months, whereas Gary Woodland (+8000, $7,500), Brooks Koepka (+1600, $10,100) and Dustin Johnson (+1600, $10,700) completed inside the highest 20 in driving on the finish of the season they gained the U.S. Open. The highest 5 in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee over the earlier 24 rounds coming into this week is Bryson, Jon Rahm (+850, $11,200), Matt Fitzpatrick (+5500, $7,800), Abraham Ancer (+5000, $7,900) and Cameron Champ (+18000, $7,000).

Hitting it nicely Off-the-Tee gained’t quantity to something this week if the golfers don’t have a sizzling placing week. Many of the greens pitch again to entrance and have loads of slope and undulation. The previous winners on the Farmers Insurance coverage Open, relationship again to Jason Day, gained a mean of 4.125 strokes on the greens. Placing is just too variant to foretell however leaning towards golfers who’ve proven success placing on poa annua also needs to be thought of. With the elevated greens and bunkers in particular touchdown areas, golfers who charge out properly in Strokes Gained: Round-the-Inexperienced and sand saves as nicely ought to warrant roster concerns this week.

Like all main weeks, pricing is delicate, which suggests there’s worth to be mined in every worth vary. Traditionally, successful this event often goes to one of many top-ranked golfers heading into the week. The previous six winners had a mean world rating of 12.5 main into their U.S Open victories, with the bottom being Woodland at No. 24 in 2019 and the best being Jordan Spieth (+1700, $10,900) at No. 2 in 2015. Over the earlier three years on the U.S. Open, a balanced lineup strategy has been profitable. In 2018, the typical wage of the highest six in DraftKings scoring was $8,650, with the most affordable being Tony Finau at $7,500 and the costliest being Johnson at $11,700. In 2019, the typical wage was $9,183, with the most affordable being Louis Oosthuizen at $7,900 and the costliest being Koepka at $11,600. Final season, the typical was $8,783, with Will Zalatoris being the most affordable at $6,700 and Justin Thomas being the costliest at $10,700.

GOLFERS TO CONSIDER

Brooks Koepka (+1600 to Win, $10,100 on DraftKings)

The truth that he’s gained two out of the final 4 U.S. Opens and simply completed runner-up on the PGA Championship final month needs to be purpose sufficient to contemplate Brooks this week. Koepka missed the minimize final weekend at Congaree, but it surely was all as a consequence of his quick recreation, dropping 1.66 strokes around-the-greens and a couple of.85 placing. His ball-striking was excellent in South Carolina, and he’s now gained over six strokes by strategy in three of his earlier 5 measured occasions. Poa annua isn’t his finest floor; he often skips the California Swing in the course of the common season. Nonetheless, that is Koepka at a significant, which ought to suffice in case you’re trying to roster a golfer on this vary.

Collin Morikawa (+2200 to Win, $9,500 on DraftKings)

The fourth-ranked golfer on this planet is elite along with his irons, rating first in Strokes Gained: Strategy-the-Inexperienced over the earlier 50 rounds. Over his previous 5 tournaments, he’s gained a mean of just below seven strokes along with his irons. Morikawa’s finishes hinge on how nicely he’s placing that week, and he’s misplaced strokes along with his putter in three of his previous 4 measured tournaments. Nonetheless, his worst end in these 4 occasions was a 14th on the Charles Schwab; he completed T7 on the RBC Heritage and T8 on the PGA Championship. The final two instances he’s gained strokes placing this season, he completed second at The Memorial offered by Nationwide and gained the WGC-Workday Championship at The Concession. He’s obtained a prime 25 on the 2020 Farmers Insurance coverage Open and needs to be used to the poa annua rising up in California.

Shane Lowry (+4500 to Win, $7,600 on DraftKings)

Three prime 10s and a prime 5 in his final 4 begins, together with the Memorial Event and the PGA Championship, ought to give the reigning “Championship Golfer of the World” a lift of confidence heading into this week. Lowry has three made cuts at Torrey Pines in the course of the Farmers Insurance coverage Open, ending seventh in 2015 and thirteenth the next 12 months. Few gamers are hitting it in addition to Lowry Tee-to-Inexperienced (T2G). Lowry gained a mean of 5.9 strokes T2G over his earlier 5 tournaments and is available in with a superb swath of U.S. Open expertise and success. In 2016 at Oakmont, Lowry was the 54-hole chief with a four-shot lead heading into the ultimate spherical. His Sunday wasn’t preferrred, taking pictures a 76, however his first three days had been close to perfection. Adam Scott (+8000, $7,400) also needs to be thought of this week with how nicely his recreation units up for a U.S. Open and the way nicely he’s performed at Torrey Pines in the course of the Farmers Insurance coverage Open. Scott completed prime 10 at Torrey Pines earlier this season and was runner-up again in 2019. He additionally has three prime 10s on the U.S. Open since 2014. Poa annua greens are his most well-liked floor, rating sixteenth in Strokes Gained: Placing over the earlier 50 rounds. 

Justin Suh (+30000 to Win, $6,600 on DraftKings)

For those who’re on the lookout for a punt play, one to contemplate is the previous College of Southern California standout. The California native certified for the U.S. Open at a Monday qualifier final week and will get to tee it up at Torrey Pines, a course he’s very acquainted with. Suh has two skilled begins on the Farmers Insurance coverage Open, the place he completed thirty seventh earlier this season. He’s additionally talked about that he’s performed Torrey Pines about 20 instances in his life throughout junior and collegiate golf. The previous World No. 1 ranked newbie turned professional with Morikawa, Viktor Hovland (+2200, $9,200) and Matthew Wolff (+15000, $7,200) again in 2019 and may have a ton of confidence this week at a course he is aware of and loves.


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All views expressed are my very own. I’m an worker of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


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